What are the most significant geopolitical risks for the year 2016?

According to the analysts of the international consulting firm Eurasia Group, transatlantic relations have been weakened by a stronger individualism of the three most important European markets, namely Germany, France and the United Kingdom. Since the ideas regarding global trade are also increasingly diverging, this fact will most likely result in a larger divergence of economic framework conditions. Another determining factor is the identity crisis of the European Union, which was aggravated by the issue of migration. As a consequence, the legitimacy of the European Union has been increasingly questioned.

In Asia, China’s “One belt, one road” politics of reviving the Silk Route will further strengthen its role as the second biggest economy in the world. The markets worldwide will react increasingly more sensitively to the developments in China. This short Eurasia Group Report aims to summarize further trends of geopolitical risks.

Competence Center for Black Sea Region Studies – Expert on political risk management

The Competence Center for Black Sea region studies is the expert on political risk management for enterprises. “With our network of country experts, we analyze the effects of political risks on enterprises in the post-Soviet region and Central Asia and thus derive strategies for risk management.” Johannes Leitner, head of the Competence Center.